Golden Globe 2010 Predictions
by Mandy Rodgers
With Ricky Gervais serving as the Golden Globes’ first host, FILM CATEGORIES
Avatar
The Hurt Locker **Upset**
Inglorious Basterds
Precious
Up in the Air **My Pick**
For me, this category might be the most perplexing. Walking into Up in the Air, I was convinced that it would bowl me over enough to immediately choose it for best film of the year. I had seen the other four, and all are impressive in their own ways but not one had completely convinced me that it could grab the gold during award season. Though I appreciate Up in the Air as a film (somewhat depressing and eerily timely), its screenplay and acting, I still was not convinced in its ability to win voters over. Personally, I enjoyed Inglorious Basterds the most, as an entertainment vehicle and as a great film. The Hurt Locker impressed me 90 percent of the way through, but the ending—important message but stylized in a bizarre fashion—took a couple of point away for me. Precious’ heavy tones and themes surely alienated many voters and audiences; Avatar’s lack of innovative story have turned many off enough that its stunning visuals and box office domination might not save it. The Hurt Locker could win Best Picture at the Oscar; Hollywood ’s Foreign Press will give the honor to Up in the Air due to star power and the abundance of other nominations it received.
ACTRESS in a DRAMA
Sandra Bullock – The Blind Side
Helen Mirren – The Last Station
Carey Mulligan – An Education **Upset**
Gabourey Sidibe – Precious **My Pick**
I love Bullock (it’s true), but this battle is between Mulligan and Sidibe. Mirren is always an easy win, and Blunt’s Victorian turn is racking up rave reviews, but after you see Sidibe as the abused and neglected (is that an understatement) Precious and then see Sidibe squealing about Justin Timberlake in interviews, the transformation is readily apparent and mind blowing. For Mulligan, she’s being compared to Audrey Hepburn. You can’t get much better than that.
ACTOR in DRAMA
George Clooney – Up in the Air **Upset**
Colin Firth – A Single Man
Morgan Freeman – Invictus
Tobey Maguire – Brothers
Freeman is classic Freeman, which is always good. Clooney shows emotion somehow making us forget (for a moment) his movie star persona. Firth finally gets some recognition for the talent most of us have already seen. Maguire was mostly crazy-eyed and just un-Peter Parker. This one will go to Bridges, who evokes many feelings and sides of the human persona with this struggles and triumphs.
(500) Days of Summer **My Pick**
The Hangover
It’s Complicated **Upset**
Julie & Julia
Nine
Out of this lineup, the only film I have not been able to watch is Nine, which has virtually fallen off the Oscar radar in many categories already with a horrific box office pull and pretty so-so reviews. The Hangover, though hilarious, is just too crude and crass to actually receive the honor on Sunday. Both of Meryl’s comedies possess winning aspects, but neither feel like a completely perfect film. My favorite for this category is (500) Days of Summer. Great acting, spot-on direction, inventive screenplay and an awesome musical number of its own featuring Hall & Oats’ "You Make My Dreams Come True."
ACTRESS in COMEDY/MUSICAL
Marion Cotillard – Nine **Upset**
Julia Roberts – Duplicity
Meryl Streep – It’s Complicated
Surprisingly, this section comes down to Streep vs. Streep, I believe. Kudos to Bullock for her double nominations (and the nominated movies are also her top two grossing films of all time), and Roberts had to have fallen out of her chair when hearing of the nomination. I love America ’s sweethearts, but this isn’t their year, and conversations of Cotillard and her film have nearly ceased. Streep is good in both films, but she shines in Julie and Julia as the effervescent Child.
ACTOR in COMEDY/MUSICAL
Daniel Day-Lewis – Nine **My Pick**
Robert Downey Jr. – Sherlock Holmes
Joseph Gordon-Levitt – (500) Days of Summer
Michael Stuhlbarg – A Serious Man
Even though Nine has stumbled, it’s only chance at securing a win is for Day-Lewis. I mean, it’s Daniel Day-Lewis. Is there anything he doesn’t do perfectly? And here, he sings! Downey Jr. is clearly having fun with his career as of late and carries Sherlock Holmes, as does Damon in The Informant!, whose physical transformation and completely changed mannerisms are definitely worth noting.
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Vera Farmiga – Up in the Air
Anna Kendrick – Up in the Air
Mo’Nique – Precious **My Pick**
Julianne Moore – A Single Man **Upset**
The Supporting categories seem to be the least shakable of the show, and I have to agree with the consensus that Mo’Nique will walk away with a statue for her incredible turn as Mary, mother (can we really call it that?) to Precious. Very un-Mo’Nique like, so much so that I wanted to inflict crazy harm to her after watching the film—and she’s a comedian! The Up in the Air ladies deserve their nominations but love for them might cancel out. And looking at Moore ’s history of always a nominee, never a winner is devastating, but she’ll get her win soon—hopefully. Oh yeah—and that all-star musical has a chance here too.
SUPPORTING ACTOR
Woody Harrelson – The Messenger **Upset**
Christopher Plummer – The Last Station
Christoph Waltz – Inglourious Basterds **My Pick**
The supporting categories always contain diverse and interesting actors and characters. Damon should be thrilled with his dual noms, and who doesn’t have a special place in their hearts for Captain Von Trapp, I mean, Christopher Plummer? Harrelson’s dramatic turn is getting tons of attention, while Tucci’s scary role in Peter Jackson’s all-talk-no-nominations drama based on the novel of the same name is sure to stupefy those familiar with his typical comedic characters. But as soon as Waltz (as Col. Hans Landa) ordered Shosanna (Melanie Laurent) a glass of meaningful milk, I was hooked on his winning numerous accolades for his work.
ANIMATED
Coraline
Fantastic Mr. Fox **Upset**
The Princess & the Frog
Up **My Pick**
Pixar + Disney + Ed Asner + cute kid named Russell + cute dog named Dug + stunning visuals + touching, tear jerking story AND the aforementioned beloved Christopher Plummer…Need I say more?
Baaria – Italy
Broken Embraces – Spain **My Pick**
The Maid – Chile
A Prophet – France
The White Ribbon – Germany **Upset**
Unfortunately, I was unable to watch any of the nominated movies here, and even though White Ribbon won at Cannes , I think the appreciation for Broken Embraces will put it over the edge.
DIRECTOR
James Cameron – Avatar **Upset**
Clint Eastwood – Invictus
Jason Reitman – Up in the Air
Quentin Tarantino – Inglorious Basterds
We all know this fight is between Bigelow and Cameron and since they are exes, it makes it even more interesting! Not to take away from Eastwood’s prowess, Tarantino’s originality (and odes to film history) or Reitman’s edginess, I believe it comes down to the Little Film that Could and the Bonafide Blockbuster for the director race. So should Cameron win for the special effects-laden masterpiece that is Avatar or Bigelow for a character-driven drama also full of its own effects? I say Bigelow. Cameron’s been King of the World; let’s give it to the ex-Queen.
District 9
The Hurt Locker **Upset**
Inglorious Basterds
It’s Complicated
Up in the Air **My Pick**
Up **My Pick**
The Informant! **Upset**
Avatar
A Single Man
Where the Wild Things Are
Cinema Italiano – Nine **My Pick**
Music & Lyrics By: Maury Yeston
I See You – Avatar
Music By: James Horner and Simon Franglen
Lyrics By: James Horner, Simon Franglen and Kuk Harrell
Music By: James Horner and Simon Franglen
Lyrics By: James Horner, Simon Franglen and Kuk Harrell
I Want You to Come Home – Everybody’s Fine
Music & Lyrics By: Paul McCartney
Music & Lyrics By: Paul McCartney
The Weary King – Crazy Heart
Music & Lyrics By: Ryan Bingham and T Bone Burnett
Music & Lyrics By: Ryan Bingham and T Bone Burnett
Winter – Brothers **Upset**
Music By: U2
Lyrics By: Bono
I want to give something musical to Nine. Not sure if this is an educated pick, however, I’ve heard the other songs and was not too terribly impressed. It’ll probably go to U2 or McCartney—no explanation needed. And yeah, I’m still bitter about Ryan Bingham’s being “too hung over” to complete an interview with me several years ago for The Red & Black. I hold a grudge.
Next post: TV predicts


















